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Skills in the Labour Market At a Glance

Published: 28 February 2008

Description

This report highlights December 2007 quarter information on skill shortages, primarily drawn from the Quarterly Survey of Business Opinion conducted by the New Zealand Institute of Economic Research and the Department of Labour’s Job Vacancy Monitor. This report is produced quarterly.

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Summary

Skill shortage indicators in the Quarterly Survey of Business Opinion (QSBO) increased in the December 2007 quarter with firms continuing to report significant difficulty finding both skilled and unskilled labour.

The deepening of skill and labour shortages appears to be the result of strong demand for labour outstripping growth in the supply of labour. Employment growth was strong in the December 2007 quarter at 1.1% which helped cause the unemployment rate to fall to a new record low of 3.4%. This means that the number of people available and actively seeking work, that employers can easily hire, is very limited at present.

Quarterly Survey of Business Opinion

A net 46% of firms had difficulty finding skilled staff in the December 2007 quarter. This is up from to a net 41% in the September 2007 quarter.

A net 33% of firms had difficulty finding unskilled staff in the December 2007 quarter, up strongly from a net 19% in the September 2007 quarter.

A shortage of labour was the main constraint on expansion for 21% of firms at December 2007. This figure is similar to the 20% measured in September 2007.

Table 1: Key skill shortage indicators

Sep 07

Dec 07

Skilled staff difficultya 41 46
Unskilled staff difficultya 19 33
Labour constraintb 20 21
Job vacanciesc 1 -4

a net % of firms reporting difficulty finding staff
b % of firms with labour as main constraint
c annual % change in job vacancies

Job Vacancy Monitor

In contrast to other indicators, the Department of Labour’s Job Vacancy Monitor (JVM) showed that advertised job vacancies in the December 2007 quarter were 4% lower than a year earlier. Changes in recruitment practices and increased use of the internet to advertise jobs appear to account for the majority of the gap between vacancy counts in the JVM and other economic and labour market indicators.

The reported 4% fall in total vacancies was driven by falls in vacancies for skilled and semi-skilled/elementary occupations of 10% and 6% respectively. In contrast a 10% increase in vacancies for highly skilled occupations was measured over the year to December 2007.

Outlook

Labour market conditions will remain tight over 2008. The unemployment rate is currently at a record low and has now been below 4% for three and a half years. Firms are struggling to find workers across the skill spectrum and positive employment intentions in both the QSBO and the National Bank Business Outlook suggest that there will be no easing in labour demand over the short-term. With available labour in short supply, skill and labour shortages are set to remain a major issue in the New Zealand economy. In this context, raising the productivity of the workforce is even more crucial to maintaining economic growth.

Related Information

Future updates

This is a regular report – the next update is due in May 2008. Reports from previous periods can be found in archive

Author or contact details

For further information please contact the Labour Market Skills team on info@dol.govt.nz